EdTech — early dropout signal + pass-rate scenarios
The Problem
240K learners' study logs, assessments, and environment data piled up, but the team could not answer "which learner is at high dropout risk in the next 4 weeks?" or "what study pattern would get them to pass?" — no model gave a justified, learner-specific answer.
XimTier Approach
Study activity, assessments, and environment are regressed to detect early dropout signals, with SHAP contributions for each at-risk learner. Reverse What-If solves the study-hours / problem-count / review-cycle mix needed to hit a target pass rate, and produces a rationale that is explainable to learners and parents.
Outcomes
Dropout detection 4 weeks early (84% accuracy)
Pre-simulated pass-rate scenarios
Learner / parent-facing explainable rationale
Tutor capacity +40% (learners per tutor)